Incredible Gallup scenario
John Fund writes at the Wall Street Journal:
How tall will the Republican wave be tomorrow? Two leading political analysts for Gallup have gone through the House races and drawn up what they call the most pessimistic scenario for the GOP. Even so, Republicans end up taking 38 net House seats from Democrats, putting them one seat short of control. Their most optimistic scenario for Republicans is a GOP gain of 90 seats.Whoa. That 90 seat Democratic loss is not a Dick Morris fantasy; that’s a Gallup scenario.
Can this be real? Are we being set up for a huge disappointment? I make no predictions, I’m just reporting what the experts are saying. The above optimistic GOP scenario is based on Gallup’s final survey last night which found Republicans with a 15-point generic advantage among likely voters, 55 percent to 40 percent, unprecedented in Gallup polling.