Hoffman way ahead
Just before Republican candidate Deirdre “Dede” Scozzafava dropped out of the upstate New York special congressional election late last week, a poll showed insurgent Conservative candidate Douglas Hoffman and Democrat Bill Owens neck and neck at about 35 percent, and Scozzafava at 20 percent. Now, according to a Public Policy poll taken over the weekend, almost all of Scozzafava’s support has gone to Hoffman, with Hoffman leading Owens in a two race matchup by 54 to 38 percent. So Scozzafava’s shocking endorsement for Owens yesterday had zero effect, or else came too late to make a difference.
In its instinctive gravitation toward the left, the state and national GOP leadership handpicked and financially backed the very liberal Scozzafava as the Republican candidate for the historically Republican 23rd congressional district. If, as Public Policy Polling predicts, Hoffman wins a “resounding” victory tomorrow, the discrediting and humiliation of that leadership will be complete.
Update: Richard Lowry at the Corner says that the Public Policy poll is very different from other polls, “so grain of salt,” though he gives no figures