Obama still needs the white working class
Jay Cost says that although Obama still needs a large minority of the white working class vote to win the election, say in the low 40s, his current support among the group has fallen well below that percentage.
James P. writes:
Note what Cost says about Hispanics. Apparently it is an error for the Democrats to think the Hispanic vote is not “secure” because sometimes they only get 54 percent of the Hispanic vote instead of 66 percent! That 54 percent sounds pretty secure to me, especially because it is concentrated in a small number of important states. He calls Hispanics a “swing group”—because they swing between voting majority Democratic and voting overwhelmingly Democratic! In my world a swing group would swing between two parties not within a single party, but whatever. And what a great reason for Gingrich and Romney to pander to Hispanics with amnesty talk—they can aspire to 43 percent of the Hispanic vote like Bush in 2004, hooray!Paul K. writes:
Obama needs white working class voters, but the Republican Party even more so. Unfortunately, I don’t see it making any effort to attract them. The most obvious issue with which it could appeal to them is a moratorium on legal immigration and a crackdown on the illegal immigration, both of which depress the value of American labor, diminish the opportunities for working-class whites through affirmative action, and negatively affect the quality of life in their neighborhoods and schools. However, the leading candidates for the Republican nomination are weak on illegal immigration and positively bullish on the legal variety. Another policy which would attract working class whites would be an end, or at least a scaling back, of affirmative action. This is not even under discussion. I’m afraid the only issue on which the Republican Party has drawn a line in the sand is its refusal to raise taxes on the wealthy. That may be sound economics but it has no appeal to the working class.
Posted by Lawrence Auster at December 01, 2011 10:31 AM | Send