McCain will likely lose; the Republican party must not lose

Mark Levin at the Corner gives an analysis with which I agree. Notwithstanding the blathering of the MSM and of McCain’s neocon supporters (who have a GREAT record in predictions department, right?), McCain is not at all favored to win the general election. Further, his lack of appeal could drag down the entire GOP, resulting in a Democratic presidency bolstered by large Democratic majorities in Congress.

I now expect a Democratic president to be elected this year. The only hope to prevent a leftist revolution is to maintain a strong GOP representation in the Congress. In fact, that may be the best outcome. McCain as president, getting the automatic slavish support of the Republicans and many “conservatives,” would face no significant opposition to his liberal program; Hillary as president would face powerful conservative opposition.

I made the same argument throughout 2004, saying that a Kerry victory would be better in the long run for conservatism and America. But for this argument to work, the Republican party must maintain its numbers in the Congress.

Update: Mark Krikorian makes a similar point at the Corner, adding that a key factor needed to maintain GOP strength in Congress is that there be a Third-Party candidate for president on the ballot for whom conservative voters who are not voting for McCain can vote. Otherwise such voters may just stay home and not vote for Congress at all.

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Mark Jaws writes:

As I have said before, “W” has indeed inflicted heavy body damage on the Republican Party—so much so, that even the young people of conservative, traditionalist families here in Stafford County, Virginia are turned off to the GOP due to the “never ending and useless war” in Iraq and the staggering debt piled on by six years of the “W,” Hastert, and Frist regime. Perhaps “W” has even dealt the GOP a death blow from which it will never rise—particularly given the hordes of new Latino voters waiting in the wings to vote Democratic. If the GOP cannot rise out of this current situation purged of its leftist strain, then I say good riddance to the Republican Party.

Perhaps the “leftist revolution” which you fear, may just be the right shock treatment to bring back to the fold our wayward young white people. First of all, we know that neither Hillary nor Obama will solve our societal problems, and in attempting to do so they will alienate even more of the white working class. Second, if immigration and birth rates continue, then in 20 years there will be at least twice as many Latinos are there now, with 75% of them voting for an expansion of the welfare state. Third, as the Latino population increases, along with its costly sociological pathologies, there will be tens of millions of baby boomers calling it quits with their hands out for SS and Medicare. Therein lie the ingredients for the clash and the bankrupting of the beast and enemy, the federal government. We traditionalists should be either purging the GOP of the moderates or looking for a new home, perhaps the Constitution Party.

Posted by Lawrence Auster at February 06, 2008 10:56 AM | Send